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Missed marketing opportunities

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest There continues to be reports of corn ear tip back.  In my opinion social media is exaggerating this problem. There are definitely isolated cases, but it doesn’t seem to be a widespread problem. I suspect the people spreading these “reports” are likely unsold or long and hoping for a market rally.Some in the market point to record demand, which would theoretically lead to a market rally over time.  While this may be true, it will take nearly a year before the market will be impacted. There is still a question surrounding what will be done with the massive wheat supply.  Also, China’s economy continues to be a question mark going forward. They have been auctioning off state reserves and they have slowed their import of DDG’s. The DDG issue could create excessive U.S. inventories, displacing corn and meal in domestic feed usage.Missed OpportunitiesNearly every farmer (me included) was caught off guard when corn spiked then dropped over six weeks this summer. There was so much hype around a potential drought, few kept their eye on what was really happening in the country and what the crop looked like. Basically, the market was placing bets on the weather before anyone knew the answer. If it would have turned dry we would have certainly rallied to $5 per bushel. The problem was that nobody stopped to think what would happen if it did rain.This is an example of why farmers need to be scale-up sellers (selling a small percent of one’s production in increments as prices go higher) going into rallies, even if they aren’t sure of their potential production. The market can push prices to the extreme, both up and down, and farmers need to be ready to take advantage. What happened in the bean market doesn’t necessarily have to happen in the corn market each year.Unfortunately, many frustrated farmers are struggling to pick prices, believing corn should be worth more. I strongly urge farmers to be cautious right now. There is no reason the market has to rally until new year or beyond.For a 1.8 billion carryout (last year’s carryout) national yields would need to be well below current USDA estimates, likely sub 168 national average. Last year the market traded $3.70 for six months until the summer weather scare.If national yields hit slightly below USDA estimates (171 to 173) it would mean a 2 billion to 2.2 billion carryout. Logically, a $3.70+ rally in the next several months is unrealistic at this carryout level based upon last year’s numbers.If national yields would exceed current USDA estimates of 175, 2.4+ carryout is a possibility and $3 futures may be a reality.Many end users have learned that farmers are not willing sellers when the market is $.50-$1 under farmer breakeven points. Therefore, risk management suggests they purchase some corn at these levels, just in case. However, farmers have not been making a lot of money these past few years.  Holding and waiting out the bad times is getting harder and harder.  Cash flow and debt to asset ratios are not as strong. Some producers may be in real trouble and forced to sell grain sooner than they would like.I’m also concerned about where all this crop will go. It will likely be the third year in a row of a bumper crop and there is already massive wheat supply still stored. Basis may get ugly until after harvest is over. This may put the most pressure on the market once harvest starts.Market ActionIn late April I had a May futures position (sold at $9.20) that I rolled to the July for a 10-cent premium ($9.30). In late June I moved my futures position to the August at a 3.5 cent inverse/loss (now $9.265 against the Aug). Earlier this month I moved this position yet again to the September futures at a 15.5 cent loss/inverse. This means that my sale is now worth $9.11.I will roll it again to the November as a new crop sale in the next couple weeks. Currently, I could lose another 15 cents. I’m hoping that the large carryout weighs on the markets, but that may not happen.  Exports have been strong and demand for cash beans have kept the inverse in the market (which is not typical with large carryout).This just goes to show that sometimes trades don’t work out the way we hope they will.  Clearly beans have surprised everyone this year. This trade represents a small portion of my larger overall position.Jon grew up raising corn and soybeans on a farm near Beatrice, NE. Upon graduation from The University of Nebraska in Lincoln, he became a grain merchandiser and has been trading corn, soybeans and other grains for the last 18 years, building relationships with end-users in the process. After successfully marketing his father’s grain and getting his MBA, 10 years ago he started helping farmer clients market their grain based upon his principals of farmer education, reducing risk, understanding storage potential and using basis strategy to maximize individual farm operation profits. A big believer in farmer education of futures trading, Jon writes a weekly commentary to farmers interested in learning more and growing their farm operations.Trading of futures, options, swaps and other derivatives is risky and is not suitable for all persons. All of these investment products are leveraged, and you can lose more than your initial deposit. Each investment product is offered only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful, and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations in such jurisdiction. The information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research before making your investment decisions. Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC is merely providing this information for your general information and the information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision. The contents of this communication and any attachments are for informational purposes only and under no circumstances should they be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell any future, option, swap or other derivative. The sources for the information and any opinions in this communication are believed to be reliable, but Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy of such information or opinions. Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC and its principals and employees may take positions different from any positions described in this communication. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. He can be contacted at [email protected]last_img read more

Replacing Your Adobe Creative Cloud Subscription for Under $100

first_imgFor video editors looking for an alternative to their Adobe Creative Cloud subscription, these apps offer similar functionality at a much lower price point.Top image from Blackmagic DesignAdobe makes some truly incredible apps for post-production professionals and are undoubtably continuing to push their software forward as much as possible. But still, their subscription pricing model isn’t ideal for all creative pros, with individual subscriptions ranging from $9.99 all the way up to almost $80. It’s left some editors looking for alternative solutions.There are some key Adobe apps that don’t have a direct alternative at the moment, but the majority of relevant Adobe applications for filmmakers absolutely do have alternatives. Let’s take a look at a few of your options for supplementing your Adobe Creative Cloud products.DaVinci Resolve vs. Premiere Pro/SpeedGradeImage from Blackmagic DesignDaVinci Resolve is not only an obvious replacement for SpeedGrade — considering it’s the best color grading software out there — but also a replacement for Adobe Premiere Pro. As of version 12, Resolve has truly become a full-fledged NLE system and offers a viable alternative to Premiere Pro that’s hard to ignore.Not to mention the basic version of DaVinci Resolve is free. If you’re looking to switch NLEs, but don’t want to make the jump to FCPX, Resolve is an excellent option that offers a tremendous amount of value with a minimal learning curve.Affinity Photo and Design vs. Photoshop/IllustratorImage from Affinity Serif is a relatively new software company that creates very high end, yet affordable creative applications. Two of their products in particular — Affinity Photo & Affinity Design — offer excellent alternatives to two of Adobe’s most-popular platforms.As the name suggests, Affinity Photo is a direct Photoshop competitor. It features a very slick UI and a rich toolset, packaged in a Photoshop-like format that will feel familiar to most Adobe users. Affinity Design is an excellent choice for editors and VFX artists that regularly do design work for their editorial or motion graphics projects. Both programs are only $49.99.Fusion vs. After EffectsImage from Blackmagic DesignBlackmagic is making this list twice for not only offering a Premiere Pro alternative, but an After Effects alternative too. Much like Resolve, Blackmagic Design’s Fusion is an extremely powerful piece of software that is available both in a free and paid version. It is a node-based compositing platform (similar in design to Nuke), and can easily serve as an alternate for Adobe After Effects.The learning curve when transitioning from After Effects to Fusion would be somewhat substantial, especially considering Fusion is node-based and After Effects is layer-based. But at the same time Fusion’s node system opens up a lot of creative possibilities, which will certainly make it a worthwhile reason for many to adapt to the new system.Got any tips for finding alternatives to the Creative Cloud? Let us know in the comments below!last_img read more

Faleiro should quit, says Goa Cong. general secretary


LG V50 ThinQ: Full specifications, top features, India price & everything you need to know

first_imgLG introduced two new phones ahead of the Mobile World Congress (MWC) 2019 in Barcelona on Sunday, February 24. While the LG G8 ThinQ is the successor to the last year’s G7 ThinQ, the V50 ThinQ is the company’s first 5G-enabled phone. The LG V50 ThinQ sports with Qualcomm’s X50 modem and it comes with a secondary screen that can be attached to the phone. We will have more to say about the phone in coming days, but for now here is your quick introduction to the LG V50 ThinQ.SpecificationProcessor: The LG V50 ThinQ uses Qualcomm Snapdragon 855 processor and it has Qualcomm’s 5G modem, X50 in its core.RAM: The LG V50 ThinQ comes with 6GB RAM.Internal storage: It has 128GB internal storage that can be expanded further using a 2TB mircoSD card.Variants: LG’s first 5G-enabled phone is available only in one variant with 6GB RAM and 128GB internal storage.Screen: 6.4-inch Quad HD FullVision OLED display with an aspect ratio of 19.5:9.Rear camera: It has three rear camera. A 16MP super wide-angle lens with an aperture of F1.9, a 12MP standard lens with an aperture of F1.5 and a 12MP telephoto lens with an aperture of F2.2.Front camera: It has dual-camera setup in the front. It has an 8MP standard lens and a 5MP wide angle lens.Weight: 183 grams.Software: Android 9.0 Pie.Battery: 4,000 mAh with Qualcomm Quick Charge 3.0 technology.Special featuresThe LG V50 ThinQ has several special features:– It comes with a secondary 6.2-inch Full HD+ Full Vision OLED attachable display that attaches itself to the side of the phone.– The dual screen of the phone can be used independently, which means you can perform various tasks such as watch a movie on one screen and check its IMDB rating on the other.– Apart from stereo speakers, boombox speaker, 32 bit Hi-Fi Quad DAC and DTS:X audio technologies, the LG V50 ThinQ also features Qualcomm’s AptX and AptX HD audio technologies.advertisementAlso know– The LG V50 ThinQ features IP68 water and dust resistant technologies and it comes with MIL-STD 810 military grade protection.– The LG V50 ThinQ comes with super far field voice recognition technology that allows the virtual assistant on the phone, Google Assistant, to listen to your commands even from a distant – a feature that is similar to the smart speakers available in the market.How to buy it: The LG V50 ThinQ will be available in select markets including the US, South Korea, Australia and select European markets later this year.India price: There is no word on when the phone will be available in India.India price: There is no word on when the phone will be available in India.There is no word on when the phone will be available in India.ALSO READ: | LG launches LG G8 ThinQ and LG V50 ThinQ smartphones at MWC 2019ALSO READ: | LG to launch a second attachable screen along with G8 ThinQ and V50 ThinQ at MWC 2019ALSO READ: | LG V50 ThinQ image leaked online ahead of the MWC 2019 launchlast_img read more